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Articles

Aruba loses 61% of its air seats in a week.

3/23/2020

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The Official Airline Guide (OAG) reports that between Monday March 16th and Monday March 23rd Aruba lost 61% of its air seats, falling from 33,338 seats per week to 12,860, with a further decline of 14% to occur in the week of March 23rd.

Aruba - Total Available Air Seats
​Source OAG
Available Seats % change Flights % change
20-Jan 30,520   244  
27-Jan 29,992 -1.7% 241 -1.2%
3-Feb 29,714 -0.9% 240 -0.4%
10-Feb 30,610 3.0% 248 3.3%
17-Feb 32,514 6.2% 259 4.4%
24-Feb 32,206 -0.9% 256 -1.2%
2-Mar 33,289 3.4% 259 1.2%
9-Mar 32,871 -1.3% 257 -0.8%
16-Mar 33,338 1.4% 259 0.8%
23-Mar 12,860 -61.4% 124 -52.1%
30-Mar 11,061 -14.0% 120 -3.2%
Picture

Seats by Origin Market
Week March 16th   Week March 23rd   Seats Flights
  Seats Flights Seats Flights % change % change
Bonaire 2,788 29 2,255 24 -19.1% -17.2%
Canada 1,739 11 741 4 -57.4% -63.6%
Colombia 2,044 17 434 3 -78.8% -82.4%
Curacao 1,944 57 703 37 -63.8% -35.1%
Dominican Republic 102 3 102 3 0.0% 0.0%
Netherlands 603 2 610 2 1.2% 0.0%
Panama 1,144 8 1,106 8 -3.3% 0.0%
Suriname 256 2 256 2 0.0% 0.0%
Sweden 322 1 - - -100.0% -100.0%
USA 22,396 129 6,653 41 -70.3% -68.2%
Total 33,338 259 12,860 124 -61.4% -52.1%

In the same week, between March 16th and March 23rd, the Caribbean as a whole saw a loss of 246,712 seats, a drop of 23.7%, falling from 1,039,055 seats to 792,343 with much of the loss being seats from the USA.

Unfortunately, Aruba appears to have the largest loss of seats on a percentage decline basis while the Dominican Republic lost the most seats overall, seeing a loss of 67,474 seats in that one week.
      Change 3/16 - 3/23  
  24-Feb 16-Mar 23-Mar % change # seats
Aruba 32,206 33,338 12,860 -61.4% (20,478)
Bermuda 8,302 8,640 3,460 -60.0% (5,180)
St Maarten (dutch Part) 26,582 26,858 11,286 -58.0% (15,572)
Saint Barthelemy 5,280 5,209 2,713 -47.9% (2,496)
Haiti 17,037 16,963 9,677 -43.0% (7,286)
Cayman Islands 23,651 27,510 15,979 -41.9% (11,531)
Dominican Republic 171,833 175,029 107,555 -38.6% (67,474)
St Vincent and the Grenadines 3,875 3,875 2,561 -33.9% (1,314)
Curacao 19,110 20,067 13,387 -33.3% (6,680)
Jamaica 93,013 94,560 64,472 -31.8% (30,088)
Bonaire, Saint Eustatius and Saba 7,593 8,217 5,921 -27.9% (2,296)
Montserrat, Leeward Islands 166 204 147 -27.9% (57)
Saint Lucia 17,677 18,024 13,157 -27.0% (4,867)
Cuba 131,312 130,263 95,928 -26.4% (34,335)
Saint Martin 3,143 2,701 2,331 -13.7% (370)
Barbados 36,573 33,460 29,474 -11.9% (3,986)
Martinique 28,570 25,589 22,683 -11.4% (2,906)
Saint Kitts and Nevis, Leeward Islands 6,275 6,315 5,604 -11.3% (711)
Grenada, Windward Islands 7,168 6,844 6,095 -10.9% (749)
Virgin Islands, British 8,103 7,906 7,113 -10.0% (793)
Trinidad and Tobago 56,647 49,128 44,591 -9.2% (4,537)
Turks and Caicos Islands 21,537 22,416 20,375 -9.1% (2,041)
Guadeloupe 34,681 33,821 30,782 -9.0% (3,039)
Bahamas 86,877 88,684 80,823 -8.9% (7,861)
Antigua and Barbuda, Leeward Islands 16,841 16,752 15,359 -8.3% (1,393)
Puerto Rico 132,458 143,022 134,724 -5.8% (8,298)
Virgin Islands, US 28,999 29,718 29,200 -1.7% (518)
Anguilla, Leeward Islands 945 950 950 0.0% -
Dominica 2,992 2,992 3,136 4.8% 144
Grand Total 1,029,446 1,039,055 792,343 -23.7% (246,712)

Looking forward into April the situation will get worse with further significant suspensions of service coming into effect.

Globally, Western Europe saw the biggest percentage decline in the number of seats, falling by 52.9% between March 16th and March 23rd while Upper South America saw a 42.1% drop so the Caribbean falls roughly in the middle of world regions in terms of percentage declines.
Picture
Source OAG
​For more information go to
www.oag.com/blog/single-largest-ever-capacity-reductions-in-one-week?utm_source=hs_email&utm_medium=email&utm_content=85103351&_hsenc=p2ANqtz-_BPSVwBFNspYLp0aVnU0jW1QWEFrlzPq9EcuT8c7lMyMWpYccAzgz70ONk4Nr8r1KrutVM9zceqDpegcT8p_kgTbc6KfC53-vDIuN8rWcT8l9NpK0&_hsmi=85103351
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    Jim Hepple is an Assistant Professor at the University of Aruba and is Managing Director of Tourism Analytics.

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